We observe the world around us through our five senses. We then build a model which represents what we perceive. Our senses are limited. So
Singular data points
When you see one pigeon and it turns out to be white, you can’t then infer that all pigeons are white. It is better to observe
We should generally expend effort on things with non-zero probabilities. Some non-zero probabilities can have huge upsides. Opportunities can easily be found close to zero
Sometimes when I am driving I can’t see the other vehicles on the road in the side mirrors. I have learnt that this might not
Correlation and causation.
The cock crows early morning as the sun rises. This is a case of correlation rather than causation. Causation is wrongly presuming that the sun